A job that refuses to run
Model-assisted prelabeling means a model proposes labels before a person works on them. Attaching a statistical guarantee to those proposals requires calibration cases: held-out examples with trusted labels, used to measure how often the model is wrong before its proposals are trusted anywhere else. The guarantee is stated at a chosen risk level, written α. A smaller α is a stricter promise, and a stricter promise needs more calibration cases. The minimum is ceil(1/α − 1) — the smallest whole number that is at least 1/α − 1. At α = 0.05 that minimum is 19. Availability. The preflight check described here is implemented and covered by automated tests. It is not something you can run: no public interface accepts such a job, and the model execution behind the check is planned — not available yet. The numbers below describe the refusal rule itself, not a service you can call.
Why refusal is the point:
- A refused job produces no output at all. That is deliberate: a model with too little calibration evidence would otherwise return a degenerate prediction — “everything is foreground” — that looks like a result and passes casual inspection.
- The refusal is recorded with its four values, so a later reader can see exactly why the job did not run instead of finding an empty gap.
- The check happens before the model runs, so an under-calibrated job costs nothing and leaves nothing to clean up.
- The guarantee vocabulary is false-negative and false-positive risk on the calibrated quantity. Those are the only quantities the calibration procedure controls.
- Overlap scores such as Dice are not statistically guaranteed by this procedure. Treat any claim that a target Dice score is guaranteed as unsupported, on this site or anywhere else.
Why this sits with the review concepts
A refusal is a recorded outcome, in the same way a returned review is. Both say something happened and why, rather than leaving a gap that a later reader has to guess at. Read Review, consensus, and adjudication for the human half of the same idea, and Roles and provenance for why machine-authored work stays identifiable.Common mistakes and limits
- A model proposal is not an approval. It should remain identifiable as machine-authored work.
- A statistical guarantee covers the calibrated quantity and nothing else. It says nothing about a metric it was not fitted to.
- Calibration cases are not training data. Reusing training examples as calibration cases destroys the guarantee without producing an error.
- No prelabel job can be submitted today, so none of the numbers above can be reproduced from outside a design-partner environment.
Next step
Read Review, consensus, and adjudication for how a proposal becomes a decision, then Plan an integration for the evidence a future prelabel interface would have to produce.| Outcome | State the calibration evidence a model proposal must carry before anyone reviews it. |
|---|---|
| Availability | Planned — not available yet |
| Audience | ML engineers, Data scientists, Reviewers, Technical leaders |
| Prerequisites | Read Review, consensus, and adjudication; Know the risk level your team would accept |
| Last verified | 2026-08-23 |